Huatai Securities: The policy overweight boosts consumption and is optimistic about the four main lines. Huatai Securities Research Report said that with the continuous efforts of promoting consumption policies, the large consumer sector ushered in the configuration window period and continued to be optimistic about the basic orientation and valuation repair of the consumer sector. It is suggested to pay attention to four main investment lines: 1) the rise of domestic products: the strength and brand power of domestic products in beauty care, home appliances, pets, textiles and clothing are constantly improving, occupying consumers' minds against the trend, and domestic products continue to lead; 2) Emotional consumption: the products on the supply side are continuously iterated, and the goods/services are built as a medium to convey emotional value, and the consumption on the demand side is superimposed to promote the continuous expansion of the tide play /IP economy; 3) New cost performance: The consumption concept of residents is becoming more and more rational, and the quality-price ratio has become the core of consumption decision-making. The new cost performance consumption focusing on "good but not expensive" is expected to continue to grow rapidly; 4) Consumption going to sea: Going to sea has become a necessary topic for consumer enterprises. Under the two-way catalysis of supply and demand, China enterprises are actively participating in global market competition and paying attention to brand/culture/service going to sea.Galaxy Securities: The equity market rebounded, and the improved double-low strategy exceeded 9% during the year. According to china galaxy Securities, the last cycle (11.26-12.9) recorded 2.3%, 1.7% and 3.2% respectively (the benchmark for the same period was 2.7%). Since the beginning of this year, the performance of the three types of strategies has been 8.5%, 8.6% and 15.1% respectively (the benchmark for the same period is 6.6%), and the cumulative excess rate of return is 2-9%. In the last cycle, the equity market rebounded and repaired. Wandequan A rose by 4.05%, and CSI convertible bonds followed (2.68%), among which the double-low style (3.25%) rose higher, and the low-price enhancement and low-price large-market strategy slightly underperformed the benchmark, and the double-low improvement strategy continued to dominate.Millay: Argentina seeks to reach a free trade agreement with the United States next year.
In 2024, the number of cases of dengue fever in Brazil exceeded 6.76 million. On December 10, local time, according to the latest data from the Brazilian Ministry of Health, this year, the number of suspected and confirmed cases of dengue fever in Brazil rose to 6,763,743, and the number of deaths rose to 5,950, with another 1,091 deaths to be verified. In 2024, the number of cases of dengue fever infection in Brazil reached a record high since the country's epidemic record, which was three times that of 2023. The death toll of dengue fever has also reached a record high, four times that of 2023. The regions with the highest infection rates are federal capital territory, minas gerais, Balana and Sã o Paulo.TF Securities: The supply-side reform of cement has gradually entered the second stage, and the industry profits are expected to go out of the relative bottom. According to the TF Securities Research Report, the whole process of the supply-side reform of cement industry can be divided into two steps. In the first step, the effect of "reducing production" was achieved by controlling the new production capacity and promoting peak-shifting production nationwide, and the industry profits were pushed up to a new high in 2019. At present, the cement industry is gradually entering the second stage of supply-side reform, and it is expected to realize the withdrawal of actual production capacity with the help of market-oriented behaviors such as environmental protection, double carbon policy and enterprise merger and reorganization. In the short term, peak-shifting production is still the most effective means to adjust the balance between supply and demand. After entering 2025, with the gradual tightening of the policy of restricting overcapacity, enterprises are forced to withdraw from small and medium-sized production capacity by making up the indicators of overcapacity, and the industry is expected to begin to realize real capacity clearing. In 2027, it will enter the stage of deepening and perfecting carbon trading, and the effect of industry capacity optimization is expected to be further revealed. At present, the profit end of the cement industry has shown signs of stabilization. Under the dual promotion of policy-driven and self-restraint under the growth of corporate profit demands, the profit in the fourth quarter is expected to begin to walk out of the relative bottom. CONCH, Shangfeng Cement, huaxin cement, China Resources Building Materials Technology and Western Cement are recommended.SpaceX is valued at about $350 billion due to internal stock sales. According to an email sent to employees seen by the media, SpaceX and its investors have agreed to acquire the company's common stock of up to $1.25 billion at a price of $185 per share. This transaction values elon musk's rocket and satellite manufacturer at about $350 billion.
Vanke: It received a loan of 1.05 billion yuan from the Postal Savings Bank. On December 10th, Vanke Enterprise Co., Ltd. (Vanke A, 000002.SZ) issued an announcement on providing guarantee for bank loans. According to the announcement, Vanke recently applied for a loan from Shenzhen Luohu Sub-branch of Postal Savings Bank of China Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Postal Savings Bank"), with a total loan principal of RMB 1.05 billion, and subsequent companies will make withdrawals according to business needs. The holding subsidiaries of the Company provide corresponding mortgage and pledge guarantee for the relevant loans respectively, and at the same time, the holding subsidiaries, as co-borrower, undertake repayment obligations together with the Company. After this guarantee, the total external guarantee of the company and its holding subsidiaries will be 118.673 billion yuan, accounting for 4.732% of the company's audited net assets attributable to shareholders of listed companies at the end of 2023.Market information: Honda will terminate its autonomous driving partnership with General Motors.Lian Ping, president of the Chief Industry Research Institute of Guangkai, believes that it is expected to reduce the RRR by about 100 basis points in 2025, releasing more than 3 trillion yuan of liquidity. Among them, there is limited room for reducing the deposit reserve ratio of small and medium-sized financial institutions, and the expected RRR reduction is about 50 basis points.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide