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2024-12-14 12:39:57

First, the big index stocks led the decline.A-share: The situation is very clear, and there are shouts of reversing to pick up people, which makes retail investors feel painful behind.However, the next adjustment of A-shares is also worrying. This wave of pullback will be relatively large. We will refer to the 8% decline from 3509 on November 8 to 3227 on November 27. The adjustment will not exceed the last time, but it will reach 5%, which is also a drop of nearly 170 points. This is something we should be psychologically prepared for.


The biggest risk in the next step comes from the artificial intelligence sector. The index has been oscillating above the gap on Tuesday for four days. The gap is so high that it is not closed. This is also to lure more people into the home. Today, the sector is diving at the end of the market, and next week, the sector will fall sharply. This is the place that hurts retail investors. In my midday article, I made risk warnings, be more careful and avoid risks.The biggest risk in the next step comes from the artificial intelligence sector. The index has been oscillating above the gap on Tuesday for four days. The gap is so high that it is not closed. This is also to lure more people into the home. Today, the sector is diving at the end of the market, and next week, the sector will fall sharply. This is the place that hurts retail investors. In my midday article, I made risk warnings, be more careful and avoid risks.Everyone should treat this adjustment correctly. At present, the short-term upward channel of A shares has not been destroyed. We should treat the current decline objectively and don't over-interpret it. Although there are many unfavorable factors facing A shares at present, such as the exhaustion of positive factors, the large increase of its own, the accelerated net outflow of main funds, the inability to effectively enlarge the trading volume, and the securities sector taking the lead in adjustment, we still can't judge that the short-term trend of A shares has changed fundamentally, but can only be regarded as a shocking process, which is what I often say is the process of constantly building a long trap.


Today, A-shares fell, and there was a general decline in the two cities. This is also a reaction to yesterday's general increase, but today's intraday decline is large, and the lethality cannot be underestimated. What impact does today's trend have on the market outlook of A-shares? Is the trend broken? Who is the biggest killer of retail investors? Now, let me talk about my own views.Today's sharp decline is accompanied by an increase in trading volume, which shows that the rising market lacks a receiver, and the falling profit-taking market is eager to sell. In other words, the power to do more is shrinking and the short-selling power is increasing.A shares do not have strong support at 3400 points. Today, it oscillated around this position, and deliberately did not fall below it in the morning. After the breakdown in the afternoon, it was pulled again, just to lure more and stifle the bottom-hunting funds. Therefore, next week's A shares are the most tormenting.

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